Will Starbucks say “China”?
Starbucks said “China” 10 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 3, 8, 11, 10, 13, 18, 10 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks said “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Starbucks
China
- Probability
- 95% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
10 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we continue to position Starbucks as a world-class global licensor. With our China business now operating under the new joint venture, about 90% of our…
…1% from the prior year, largely driven by the transition of the China retail business to our new joint venture license structure in the third…
Counts: company speakers + operator
18 counted (18 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…the financial results discussed on today's call reflect the consolidation of Starbucks China as our transaction closed after the second quarter. This conference call is…
Comparable sales increased nearly 3%, our top 10 international markets, including China, all posted positive comps for the first time in 9 quarters. This combination…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
13 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…a healthy 5%, led by strong performance across our company-operated markets in China, Japan, and the UK. In the U.S., where much of our turnaround…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | China |  Kalshi | Yes | 18 |
Questions
- How many times did Starbucks say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Starbucks said “China” 10 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 3, 8, 11, 10, 13, 18, 10 times.
- How often does Starbucks say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Starbucks said “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Starbucks says “China” next time?
- 95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Starbucks: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SBUX/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=starbucks&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=starbucks&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP