Costco (COST): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Mar 5, 2026

Thu, Mar 5Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCostco

On its Mar 5, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Costco said 11 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 11 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Membership Yes2328✓97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff Yes1414✓95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Renewal Yes1316✓96%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Inflation Yes1214✓97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Dividend Yes67✓39%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Kirkland Yes33✓95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Expansion Yes34✓86%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Inventory Yes23✓94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Revenue Yes22✓80%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Spending Yes11✓56%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Valuation Yes11✓12%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Holiday No00✓84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Labor No01✓78%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Hot Dog No00✓50%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Automation No00✓13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Spending”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Gary Millerchipcompanyqa

…to more of those marketing dollars that our vendors and suppliers are spending. Our first priority is really to build the capabilities internally around delivering…

Where the listed words were said

Gary Millerchipcompany“Membership” · prepared

…price deflation and changes in FX. Moving down the income statement to membership fee income. We reported membership fee income of $1.355 billion, an increase…

Ron Vachriscompany“Tariff” · prepared

…before turning it back over to Gary. Let me start by addressing tariffs, as I know this topic is of great interest to our members…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Renewal” · prepared

…last year and 147.2 million cardholders, up 4.7% year-over-year. In terms of renewal rates, at Q2 end, our U.S. and Canada renewal rate was 92.1%,…

Ron Vachriscompany“Inflation” · prepared

…as eggs, cheese, coffee and some paper products as we saw lower inflation in these commodities. We will continue to be a pricing authority and…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Dividend” · qa

…subject to Board approval, we want to continue to grow the regular dividend because we think that's a core sort of fundamental part of demonstrating…

Ron Vachriscompany“Kirkland” · prepared

…buying efforts globally to lower the cost of goods, leaning in on Kirkland Signature, where we have the most control of the supply chain and…

Ron Vachriscompany“Expansion” · qa

…both in employees and in pricing and in the business overall and expansion, as Gary mentioned and I mentioned in the earlier talk that we…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Inventory” · prepared

…relatively stable in Q2, and our merchants feel good about our current inventory position heading into the spring. That said, as we look at the…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Revenue” · qa

…us in terms of adding younger new members and helping with total revenue growth and some of the comments I made about the membership growth,…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Valuation” · qa

…balance on our balance sheet today. And we do think, with our valuation, the special dividend is probably the most effective way to return excess…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/costco:2026-03-05:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=costco:2026-03-05:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP