Will Costco say “Holiday”?
Costco said “Holiday” 1 time on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 5, 0, 4, 5, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Holiday” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 11, 2025 (50%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 81¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Costco
Holiday
- Probability
- 66% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…back to a little bit more normalcy. Feel very good about the holidays, feel very good about the buying lineup that our folks have. As…
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
…merchandising results for Q1, here are a few fun facts about the holiday selling season so far. Our US food court set a daily record…
…driven by the introduction of some great new items such as our holiday dessert bars and our crème brûlée bar cake. Nonfoods had comp sales…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…supply remains relatively stable. With no notable issues. Looking ahead to the holiday season, our merchants feel good about our inventory position, and while the…
…then Ron will talk a little bit more about assortment for the holidays. On the gross margin rate, so, yeah, I talked a little bit…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Costco say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
- Costco said “Holiday” 1 time on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 5, 0, 4, 5, 0, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Costco say “Holiday”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Holiday” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 11, 2025 (50%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Costco says “Holiday” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP