Will Costco say “Renewal”?
Costco said “Renewal” 11 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 11, 3, 12, 15, 12, 13, 9, 11 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Renewal” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 96% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 90¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Costco
Renewal
- Probability
- 96% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
11 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).
Executive member penetration reached an all-time high in fiscal year 2026. Renewal rates showed improvements again this quarter, with the increasing executive penetration likely to…
…last year, and 150.4 million cardholders up 3.6% year-over-year. In terms of renewal rates at Q4 end, our U.S. and Canada renewal rate was 92.3%,…
Counts: company speakers + operator
9 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).
…last year, and 148.5 million cardholders up 4% year-over-year. In terms of renewal rates at Q3 end, our U.S. and Canada renewal rate was 92.2%,…
…than warehouse sign-ups. As this population has grown as a percentage of our total base, this creates some downward pressure on the overall renewal rate.
Counts: company speakers + operator
13 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…last year and 147.2 million cardholders, up 4.7% year-over-year. In terms of renewal rates, at Q2 end, our U.S. and Canada renewal rate was 92.1%,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did Costco say “Renewal” on its last earnings call?
- Costco said “Renewal” 11 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 11, 3, 12, 15, 12, 13, 9, 11 times.
- How often does Costco say “Renewal”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Renewal” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Costco says “Renewal” next time?
- 96%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Renewal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/renewal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=renewal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP