Will Costco say “Inflation”?
Costco said “Inflation” 37 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 12, 25, 17, 10, 12, 23, 37 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Inflation” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 98% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 92¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Costco
Inflation
- Probability
- 98% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
37 counted (18 in prepared remarks, 19 in Q&A); 6 by speakers the rule does not count.
…2025. Comparable sales were up 9.4% and 6.7% adjusted for gas price inflation and FX. Excluding gas sales entirely and adjusting for the impact of…
…sales metrics, FX negatively impacted sales by approximately 0.3%, while gas price inflation positively impacted sales by approximately 3%. Traffic or shopping frequency increased 3.3%…
Counts: company speakers + operator
23 counted (15 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…2025. Comparable sales were up 9.8% and 6.6% adjusted for gas price inflation and FX. Excluding gas sales entirely and adjusting for the impact of…
…sales metrics, FX positively impacted sales by approximately 1%, while gas price inflation positively impacted sales by approximately 2.2%. Traffic or shopping frequency increased 2.4%…
Counts: company speakers + operator
12 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…as eggs, cheese, coffee and some paper products as we saw lower inflation in these commodities. We will continue to be a pricing authority and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did Costco say “Inflation” on its last earnings call?
- Costco said “Inflation” 37 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 12, 25, 17, 10, 12, 23, 37 times.
- How often does Costco say “Inflation”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Inflation” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Costco says “Inflation” next time?
- 98%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP