Will Costco say “Hot Dog”?
Costco did not say “Hot Dog” on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 4, 0, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Hot Dog” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (40%), most recently on May 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 35¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Costco
Hot Dog
- Probability
- 28% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…in manufacturing capabilities where they can support KS growth, things like expanding hot dog capacity and coffee roasting, some of these areas. Then, of course,…
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…recently celebrated a few milestones including the fortieth anniversary of our $1.50 hot dog and soda combo. Fittingly, we've just completed the rollout of Coca-Cola,…
…for future depot expansions and investments in our manufacturing facilities for expanded hot dog production and a new coffee roasting facility also contributed to the…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…coming and then also holding on many prices around the the the hot dog and the rotisserie chicken at times when inflation was higher as…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Costco say “Hot Dog” on its last earnings call?
- Costco did not say “Hot Dog” on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 4, 0, 0, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Costco say “Hot Dog”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Hot Dog” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (40%), most recently on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Costco says “Hot Dog” next time?
- 28%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Hot Dog’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/hot-dog (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=hot%20dog · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP