Will Costco say “Expansion”?
Costco said “Expansion” 1 time on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 1, 5, 5, 3, 2, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Expansion” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 90% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 81¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Costco
Expansion
- Probability
- 90% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…is growing from 17 states to the entire U.S., as well as expansion of DoorDash partnership to include the U.S. These partnerships will complement the…
…thanks for the question. I want to go into the third-party delivery expansion a bit more. Should we think about this as the ultimate solution…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…value on pet medications, acceptance of Medicare D over-the-counter flex cards, and expansion of our mail order and specialty pharmacy offerings. Gas comps were positive…
…things coming in the U.K. as well. We see very strong international expansion over the next 5-10 years, and those countries would probably be the…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…both in employees and in pricing and in the business overall and expansion, as Gary mentioned and I mentioned in the earlier talk that we…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Expansion |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Expansion |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| May 28, 2026 | Expansion | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Expansion | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Expansion | Polymarket | Yes | 8 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Expansion | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Expansion | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How many times did Costco say “Expansion” on its last earnings call?
- Costco said “Expansion” 1 time on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 1, 5, 5, 3, 2, 1 times.
- How often does Costco say “Expansion”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Expansion” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Costco says “Expansion” next time?
- 90%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Expansion’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/expansion (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=expansion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP