Will Costco say “Tariff”?
Costco said “Tariff” 17 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 7, 27, 17, 6, 14, 6, 17 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Tariff” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 96% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 85¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Costco
Tariff
- Probability
- 96% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
17 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…over time, they grow into higher-spending members. Finally, I'll touch briefly on tariff refunds, and Gary will share more details later in the call. As…
…results include a non-recurring benefit of $0.15 per diluted share from IEEPA tariff refunds received in the quarter, less partial reinvestment of those refunds in…
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…more with us in the warehouse. We're closely monitoring the longer-term inflationary impacts of higher oil prices, as well as the future impacts of tariffs.
…new Kirkland Signature items in the third quarter. On the topic of tariffs, we've started submitting our refund claims for the IEEPA tariffs. We are…
Counts: company speakers + operator
14 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…before turning it back over to Gary. Let me start by addressing tariffs, as I know this topic is of great interest to our members…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Costco say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Costco said “Tariff” 17 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 7, 27, 17, 6, 14, 6, 17 times.
- How often does Costco say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Tariff” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Costco says “Tariff” next time?
- 96%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP