Will Costco say “Dividend”?
Costco did not say “Dividend” on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 4, 0, 0, 0, 6, 4, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Dividend” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (40%), most recently on May 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 32¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Costco
Dividend
- Probability
- 61% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…investments, as that being the top priority, we're also growing the regular dividend over time, as you know, and we sort of continue to buy…
…beyond those priorities, and we believe that at our current valuation, special dividend is typically the most effective way to return excess cash without giving…
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…subject to Board approval, we want to continue to grow the regular dividend because we think that's a core sort of fundamental part of demonstrating…
…balance sheet today. And we do think, with our valuation, the special dividend is probably the most effective way to return excess cash because it…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…$0.21 per diluted share, related to the tax deductibility of the special dividend paid to 401(k) participants. Excluding this discrete tax item, net income and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Costco say “Dividend” on its last earnings call?
- Costco did not say “Dividend” on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 4, 0, 0, 0, 6, 4, 0 times.
- How often does Costco say “Dividend”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Dividend” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (40%), most recently on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Costco says “Dividend” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Dividend’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/dividend (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=dividend · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP