Costco (COST): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Mar 5, 2026

Thu, Mar 5Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCostco

On its Mar 5, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Costco said 11 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 11 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Membership Yes2328✓97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff Yes1414✓95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Renewal Yes1316✓96%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Inflation Yes1214✓97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Dividend Yes67✓39%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Kirkland Yes33✓95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Expansion Yes34✓86%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Inventory Yes23✓94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Revenue Yes22✓80%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Spending Yes11✓56%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Valuation Yes11✓12%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Holiday No00✓84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Labor No01✓78%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Hot Dog No00✓50%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Automation No00✓13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

0 matches for “Automated / Automation”.

Where the listed words were said

Gary Millerchipcompany“Membership” · prepared

…price deflation and changes in FX. Moving down the income statement to membership fee income. We reported membership fee income of $1.355 billion, an increase…

Ron Vachriscompany“Tariff” · prepared

…before turning it back over to Gary. Let me start by addressing tariffs, as I know this topic is of great interest to our members…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Renewal” · prepared

…last year and 147.2 million cardholders, up 4.7% year-over-year. In terms of renewal rates, at Q2 end, our U.S. and Canada renewal rate was 92.1%,…

Ron Vachriscompany“Inflation” · prepared

…as eggs, cheese, coffee and some paper products as we saw lower inflation in these commodities. We will continue to be a pricing authority and…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Dividend” · qa

…subject to Board approval, we want to continue to grow the regular dividend because we think that's a core sort of fundamental part of demonstrating…

Ron Vachriscompany“Kirkland” · prepared

…buying efforts globally to lower the cost of goods, leaning in on Kirkland Signature, where we have the most control of the supply chain and…

Ron Vachriscompany“Expansion” · qa

…both in employees and in pricing and in the business overall and expansion, as Gary mentioned and I mentioned in the earlier talk that we…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Inventory” · prepared

…relatively stable in Q2, and our merchants feel good about our current inventory position heading into the spring. That said, as we look at the…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Revenue” · qa

…us in terms of adding younger new members and helping with total revenue growth and some of the comments I made about the membership growth,…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Spending” · qa

…to more of those marketing dollars that our vendors and suppliers are spending. Our first priority is really to build the capabilities internally around delivering…

Gary Millerchipcompany“Valuation” · qa

…balance on our balance sheet today. And we do think, with our valuation, the special dividend is probably the most effective way to return excess…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/costco:2026-03-05:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=costco:2026-03-05:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP