Rocket Lab (RKLB): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2026
On its Feb 27, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Rocket Lab said 9 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mars | Yes | 12 | 14 | ✓ | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Golden Dome | Yes | 6 | 7 | ✓ | 78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| NASA | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Virginia | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 73%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Cryogenic | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 18%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Reusable | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Momentum | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Human | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 56%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| SpaceX | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Japan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Lunar | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
10 matches for “Orbit”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…launches in a single quarter to date. Meanwhile, there were no successful orbit launches of a new U.S. or European small launch vehicle in 2025…
…we'll be chairing Blue and Gold along as they arrive in Mars orbit in September next year. Our role in ESCAPADE might have reached mission…
…which is our launch plus spacecraft mission to build and deploy an on-orbit cryogenic fuel depot for NASA. This spacecraft is now complete and we…
…their limits, companies are beginning to seriously explore moving data centers to orbit where they can take advantage of the cool conditions and infinite solar…
…and then passes through the mouth of the Hungary Hipo and carried orbit. Like the Hungary Hipo, the interstage remains attached to the first stage…
Where the listed words were said
…largest contract in Rocket Lab's history, successfully delivered the ESCAPADE mission in Mars for NASA, and we had record growth across all of our Space…
…This kind of cadence and reliability positions us well for programs like Golden Dome. With more HASTE missions on the books this year, we'll be…
…Q4, the ESCAPADE mission launched and the twin satellites we built for NASA and UC Berkeley are now well on their way to the red…
…Q1, it made its way to wallops. It's an exciting time in Virginia as Neutron flight hardware starts arriving and we can get into the…
…which is the final hurdle before we get into integrated system checkouts, cryogenic proof tests, vehicle hot fires, wet dress and then, of course, launch.…
…is really accurate until kind of Neutrons online, and we have multi-ton reusable launch capability. I think that's the time that we can really lean…
…of our business segments. Sequentially, revenue increased by 16%, underscoring the continued momentum across the business. Our Space Systems segment delivered $103.8 million in revenue…
…We've gotten some questions as to whether or not the partial government shutdown has impacted our customer, in this case, ability to pay as they…
…will be fundamental to everything else on Mars, enabling science now and human exploration in the future. We'll make it possible with a rare combination…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/rocket-lab:2026-02-27:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=rocket-lab:2026-02-27:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP