Rocket Lab (RKLB)

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 25 word markets on Rocket Lab’s earnings calls since 2025, on 14 different words. Next call: Nov 9, 2026 (13 words listed).

Next: Earnings call ·

13 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

Rocket Lab: the words listed for Mon, Nov 9, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ3’24Nov '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Aug '25Q3’25year agoQ4’25Feb '26Q1’26May '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
Mars20 times: Mars, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said2 times: Mars, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Mars, Q1’25 May '259 times: Mars, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said3 times: Mars, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said12 times: Mars, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said12 times: Mars, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said2 times: Mars, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling7/888%6/875%20/2195%92%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
NASAevery call7 times: NASA, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said3 times: NASA, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said5 times: NASA, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said3 times: NASA, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said3 times: NASA, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said4 times: NASA, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said3 times: NASA, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said3 times: NASA, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%7/888%21/21100%89%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts55¢ Kalshi
Golden Dome0 times: Golden Dome, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Golden Dome, Q4’24 Feb '252 times: Golden Dome, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said8 times: Golden Dome, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said3 times: Golden Dome, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said6 times: Golden Dome, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said7 times: Golden Dome, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Golden Dome, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising6/875%4/850%6/2129%87%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Reusable4 times: Reusable, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said1 time: Reusable, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Reusable, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said3 times: Reusable, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Reusable, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: Reusable, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said3 times: Reusable, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Reusable, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%7/888%17/2181%83%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Momentum0 times: Momentum, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Momentum, Q4’24 Feb '251 time: Momentum, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: Momentum, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said4 times: Momentum, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: Momentum, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Momentum, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said3 times: Momentum, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising6/875%5/862%10/2148%81%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Virginia0 times: Virginia, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Virginia, Q4’24 Feb '253 times: Virginia, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said4 times: Virginia, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Virginia, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said3 times: Virginia, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Virginia, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said2 times: Virginia, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising6/875%6/875%19/2190%78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Shutdown / Shut Down0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’24 Feb '251 time: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 Aug '256 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 May '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 Aug '26rising3/838%1/812%4/2119%64%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Human1 time: Human, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said0 times: Human, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Human, Q1’25 May '251 time: Human, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Human, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: Human, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Human, Q1’26 May '260 times: Human, Q2’26 Aug '26steady4/850%3/838%9/2143%50%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Lunar0 times: Lunar, Q3’24 Nov '241 time: Lunar, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Lunar, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Lunar, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Lunar, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Lunar, Q4’25 Feb '265 times: Lunar, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said0 times: Lunar, Q2’26 Aug '26rising3/838%2/825%6/2129%41%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Cryogenic1 time: Cryogenic, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said0 times: Cryogenic, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Cryogenic, Q1’25 May '250 times: Cryogenic, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Cryogenic, Q3’25 Nov '252 times: Cryogenic, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Cryogenic, Q1’26 May '260 times: Cryogenic, Q2’26 Aug '26steady2/825%2/825%8/2138%37%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Nov '241 time: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Tariff, Q1’26 May '261 time: Tariff, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidsteady3/838%1/812%3/2114%32%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
SpaceX0 times: SpaceX, Q3’24 Nov '242 times: SpaceX, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: SpaceX, Q1’25 May '250 times: SpaceX, Q2’25 Aug '252 times: SpaceX, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: SpaceX, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: SpaceX, Q1’26 May '260 times: SpaceX, Q2’26 Aug '26falling2/825%1/812%6/2129%30%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Japan0 times: Japan, Q3’24 Nov '240 times: Japan, Q4’24 Feb '251 time: Japan, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Japan, Q2’25 Aug '251 time: Japan, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Japan, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Japan, Q1’26 May '260 times: Japan, Q2’26 Aug '26steady2/825%1/812%4/2119%28%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:43 UTC.

Every word

1–1 of 1, most settled first
Rocket Lab: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ3’24Nov '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Aug '25Q3’25Nov '25Q4’25Feb '26Q1’26May '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Orbitevery call10 times: Orbit, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said6 times: Orbit, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said3 times: Orbit, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said6 times: Orbit, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said3 times: Orbit, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said9 times: Orbit, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said5 times: Orbit, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said9 times: Orbit, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%21/21100%93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 25 of 25 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Aug 10, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
May 7, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 27, 2026Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript139 yes · 4 no13/13 (100%)
Nov 10, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript129 yes · 3 no12/12 (100%)
Aug 7, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
May 8, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 27, 2025Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Nov 12, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Aug 8, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
May 6, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 27, 2024Earnings call FY23 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Nov 9, 2023Earnings call FY23 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “Rocket Lab (RKLB): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RKLB (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/rocket-lab · words: /api/v1/history?entity=rocket-lab · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP