Will Rocket Lab say “Japan”?

Rocket Lab did not say “Japan” on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab said “Japan” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

28%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 9, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Rocket Lab

Japan

Probability
28% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 10, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Peter BeckcompanypreparedIn transcript

…but all but two of them were signed with international customers from Japan, Korea, and Europe. Those new missions plus the ones already on the…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 8, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Peter BeckcompanyqaIn transcript

…hi Andres. So primarily Europe, and Electron has done incredibly well in Japan. So Japanese market is like the second biggest market for Electron. But…

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 27, 2026JapanKalshiNo0
Nov 10, 2025JapanKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Rocket Lab say “Japan” on its last earnings call?
Rocket Lab did not say “Japan” on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Rocket Lab say “Japan”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab said “Japan” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 10, 2025.
What is the probability Rocket Lab says “Japan” next time?
28%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Rocket Lab: ‘Japan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RKLB/words/japan (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rocket-lab&word=japan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rocket-lab&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP