Will Rocket Lab say “Lunar”?
Rocket Lab did not say “Lunar” on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab did not say “Lunar” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Rocket Lab
Lunar
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…both Neutron and Electron. Our rockets also deploy and replenish constellations, launch lunar and planetary missions, and more. On Space Systems, our satellite and subsystems…
…NASA missions. Commercially, we're supporting direct-to-device constellations, Earth observation constellations, lunar landers, orbiters, and re-entry missions. This is execution. Real missions…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…control of satellite constellations is the same that helped land a commercial lunar lander on the moon earlier this year, supported NASA's CAPSTONE mission, DARPA's…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…our Space Systems team, they're busy right now helping land a NASA lunar lander mission on the Moon. After its 45-day journey through space, our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Rocket Lab say “Lunar” on its last earnings call?
- Rocket Lab did not say “Lunar” on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0 times.
- How often does Rocket Lab say “Lunar”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab did not say “Lunar” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025.
- What is the probability Rocket Lab says “Lunar” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Rocket Lab: ‘Lunar’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RKLB/words/lunar (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rocket-lab&word=lunar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rocket-lab&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP