Will Rocket Lab say “SpaceX”?
Rocket Lab did not say “SpaceX” on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab did not say “SpaceX” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Rocket Lab
SpaceX
- Probability
- 30% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…launch providers who have launched to orbit more than once this year: SpaceX, ULA, and, of course, us. Which really does highlight just how rare…
…numerous. Basically, every new space company except Rocket Lab USA, Inc. and SpaceX has failed to build an orbital rocket that has scaled to any…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…reuse and going just as kind of we've seen other, we've seen SpaceX do, you hopefully get to reuse it a few times, and then…
…thing really is Neutron because if we take our friends over at SpaceX and the Starlink constellation, Starlink is a great satellite, but the real…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | SpaceX |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Rocket Lab say “SpaceX” on its last earnings call?
- Rocket Lab did not say “SpaceX” on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Rocket Lab say “SpaceX”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab did not say “SpaceX” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Rocket Lab says “SpaceX” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Rocket Lab: ‘SpaceX’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RKLB/words/spacex (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rocket-lab&word=spacex · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rocket-lab&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP