Will Rocket Lab say “Mars”?

Rocket Lab said “Mars” 2 times on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 20, 2, 0, 9, 3, 12, 12, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab said “Mars” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 92% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

92%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 9, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Rocket Lab

Mars

Probability
92% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 7 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Peter BeckcompanyqaIn transcript

…a low Earth orbit comms bird through to something that goes to Mars. But where it gets a little bit tricky for us is to…

Peter BeckcompanyqaIn transcript

…unique capability. So to be able to build low Earth orbit satellites, Mars satellites, GEO satellites, and then have our first Flatellite order, I think…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · said 12 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

12 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Peter BeckcompanypreparedIn transcript

…Rocket Lab hardware is flying on Artemis missions. Our technology is on Mars rovers and orbiters. We support ISS resupply and other flagship NASA missions.…

Peter BeckcompanypreparedIn transcript

…mechanisms. Their technology is featured on the CADRE lunar rover and NASA's Mars Perseverance rover. That includes the rover's entire robotic arm, which was the…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2026 · said 12 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

12 counted (11 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Peter BeckcompanypreparedIn transcript

…largest contract in Rocket Lab's history, successfully delivered the ESCAPADE mission in Mars for NASA, and we had record growth across all of our Space…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 10, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · said 9 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 8, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · said 20 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 27, 2026MarsKalshiYes12
Nov 10, 2025MarsKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Rocket Lab say “Mars” on its last earnings call?
Rocket Lab said “Mars” 2 times on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 20, 2, 0, 9, 3, 12, 12, 2 times.
How often does Rocket Lab say “Mars”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab said “Mars” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026.
What is the probability Rocket Lab says “Mars” next time?
92%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Rocket Lab: ‘Mars’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RKLB/words/mar (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rocket-lab&word=mar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rocket-lab&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP