Will Rocket Lab say “Tariff”?

Rocket Lab said “Tariff” 1 time on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab did not say “Tariff” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

32%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 9, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Rocket Lab

Tariff

Probability
32% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Adam SpicecompanypreparedIn transcript

Additionally, we recorded a non-recurring benefit from tariff refunds, which was largely offset by an inventory reserve against our Neutron Flight 2 launch vehicle. Relatedly,…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 10, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 8, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Adam SpicecompanyqaIn transcript

…course, we are in a very dynamic situation. Who knows what the tariff environment is going to be like tomorrow or 2 weeks from now…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Adam SpicecompanyqaIn transcript

…that border. But right now, I would say, look, we don't see tariffs as impacting us significantly at this point. I think we're pretty fortunate…

Jason GurskyanalystqaIn transcript

…be hanging on that word. And then two last really quick ones. Tariffs, next Tuesday could be a big day. Do you have any exposure…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 27, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Nov 10, 2025TariffKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Rocket Lab say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Rocket Lab said “Tariff” 1 time on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
How often does Rocket Lab say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab did not say “Tariff” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025.
What is the probability Rocket Lab says “Tariff” next time?
32%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Rocket Lab: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RKLB/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rocket-lab&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rocket-lab&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP