Will Rocket Lab say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
Rocket Lab did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 6, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab said “Shutdown / Shut Down” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Rocket Lab
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 64% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…We've gotten some questions as to whether or not the partial government shutdown has impacted our customer, in this case, ability to pay as they…
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…fully funded contracts like a half-billion-dollar program can continue under the government shutdown, the situation does continue to have an impact on the timing of…
…The timing has been a little bit delayed due to the government shutdown. I think we've all seen recently that there's signs that perhaps we…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…the testing right now, it's really all about all the start-up and shutdown transients and all of those things. Once you reach thermal equilibrium when…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How many times did Rocket Lab say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
- Rocket Lab did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 6, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Rocket Lab say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab said “Shutdown / Shut Down” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 10, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Rocket Lab says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Rocket Lab: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RKLB/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rocket-lab&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rocket-lab&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP