Rocket Lab (RKLB): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2026
On its Feb 27, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Rocket Lab said 9 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mars | Yes | 12 | 14 | ✓ | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Golden Dome | Yes | 6 | 7 | ✓ | 78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| NASA | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Virginia | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 73%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Cryogenic | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 18%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Reusable | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Momentum | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Human | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 56%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| SpaceX | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Japan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Lunar | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
5 matches for “NASA”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…in Rocket Lab's history, successfully delivered the ESCAPADE mission in Mars for NASA, and we had record growth across all of our Space Systems component…
…Q4, the ESCAPADE mission launched and the twin satellites we built for NASA and UC Berkeley are now well on their way to the red…
…fact that we think Rocket Lab is the strongest contender to deliver NASA's Mars telecommunication Orbit program. An NTO will be fundamental to everything else…
…spacecraft mission to build and deploy an on-orbit cryogenic fuel depot for NASA. This spacecraft is now complete and we will be marching steadily towards…
…million, $750 million there about wondering, it looks like earlier this week, NASA put out an RFP for Mars Telecommunications Network. So a little bit…
Where the listed words were said
…and our software has enabled some of the most ambitious and successful Mars missions in history, including the Mars Insight Lander, Perseverance Rover, Ingenuity Helicopter,…
…This kind of cadence and reliability positions us well for programs like Golden Dome. With more HASTE missions on the books this year, we'll be…
…Q1, it made its way to wallops. It's an exciting time in Virginia as Neutron flight hardware starts arriving and we can get into the…
…which is the final hurdle before we get into integrated system checkouts, cryogenic proof tests, vehicle hot fires, wet dress and then, of course, launch.…
…is really accurate until kind of Neutrons online, and we have multi-ton reusable launch capability. I think that's the time that we can really lean…
…of our business segments. Sequentially, revenue increased by 16%, underscoring the continued momentum across the business. Our Space Systems segment delivered $103.8 million in revenue…
…We've gotten some questions as to whether or not the partial government shutdown has impacted our customer, in this case, ability to pay as they…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/rocket-lab:2026-02-27:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=rocket-lab:2026-02-27:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP