Amazon (AMZN): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025
On its Oct 30, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Amazon said 11 of the 15 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 14 of 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 11 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 15- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi - Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Robotics | Yes | 5 | 6 | ✓ | 95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Gen-AI / Gen AI / Generative AI | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Live Sports | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 59%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Alexa+ / Alexa Plus | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Prime Day | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 82%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Amazon Bedrock | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 68%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Sponsored Products | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 68%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Third Party Sellers | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 39%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Project Kuiper | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| China | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 60%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Supply Chain | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| RxPass | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 17%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
2 matches for “FTC”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…billion, if not for 2 special Q3 expenses, $2.5 billion for an FTC settlement and $1.8 billion for estimated severance costs. Trailing 12-month free cash…
…Excluding the $2.5 billion charge related to the legal settlement with the FTC, North America segment operating income would have been $7.3 billion with an…
Where the listed words were said
…margin of 2.9%. Excluding the impact of the severance charge International segment operating margins expanded year-over-year. Globally, our progress on key inputs is delivering a…
…gains from our regionalized network through algorithmic improvements as well as launching robotics and automation. Operating margin may fluctuate quarter-to-quarter, we have a delivered approach…
…over $10 billion in incremental annualized sales. Here are the highlights. Our generative AI-powered audio feature that combines product summaries and reviews to make shopping…
…and SoundCloud and we're excited about the advertising opportunity around prime video live sports. Live sports got a lot of interest from advertisers in upfront…
…in the U.S. We continue to be energized by the response to Alexa+ compared to what we call the classic Alexa experience, Alexa+ customers are…
…fluctuations in foreign exchange rates, changes in global economic and geopolitical conditions, tariff and trade policies and customer demand and spending, including the impact of…
…beating prices of other major retailers. In July, we had our biggest Prime Day event ever, with customers saving billions of dollars across more than…
…business for AWS as EC2, and the majority of token usage in Amazon Bedrock is already running on Trainium. We're also continuing to work closely…
…bottom of the funnel at point of sale being able to use sponsored products, that's -- most people don't have a full funnel offering as…
…and have them delivered in the same day. Our millions of global third-party sellers continue to be important contributors to our vast selection, which helps…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/amazon:2025-10-30:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=amazon:2025-10-30:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP