Will Applied Materials say “China / Chinese”?
Applied Materials said “China / Chinese” 5 times on its Aug 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 15, 18, 11, 25, 33, 1, 2, 5 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Applied Materials said “China / Chinese” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 78¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Applied Materials
China / Chinese
- Probability
- 95% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…margin of 30.1% up 280 basis points year-over-year. From a regional perspective, China represented 26% of our semiconductor systems plus AGS revenue. We now expect…
…the increasing utilization across those customers. That's a positive. Our view of China is that it will grow this year and it will grow next…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Other revenue of $280 million was in line with our expectations. China represented 24% of our Semiconductor Systems plus AGS revenue. We expect our business…
…the gross margin side, you know, great guide with, I'm assuming, depressed China. How should we think about gross margins beyond the July quarter, particularly…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Thank you, Harlan. We continue to comply with all regulations. Demand in China remains mixed by segment, with mature nodes steady and certain leading-edge areas…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | China / Chinese |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How many times did Applied Materials say “China / Chinese” on its last earnings call?
- Applied Materials said “China / Chinese” 5 times on its Aug 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 15, 18, 11, 25, 33, 1, 2, 5 times.
- How often does Applied Materials say “China / Chinese”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Applied Materials said “China / Chinese” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Applied Materials says “China / Chinese” next time?
- 95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Applied Materials: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMAT/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=applied-materials&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=applied-materials&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP