Applied Materials (AMAT)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 13 word markets on Applied Materials’ earnings calls since 2026, on 13 different words. Next call: Nov 12, 2026 (12 words listed).
Next: Earnings call ·
12 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi| Word | Q4’24Nov '24 | Q1’25Feb '25 | Q2’25May '25 | Q3’25Aug '25 | Q4’25year ago | Q1’26Feb '26 | Q2’26May '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese | 15 times: China / Chinese, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 18 times: China / Chinese, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 11 times: China / Chinese, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 25 times: China / Chinese, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 33 times: China / Chinese, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: China / Chinese, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: China / Chinese, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: China / Chinese, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 74/8191% | 95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 78¢ Kalshi |
| Supply Chain | 5 times: Supply Chain, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Supply Chain, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 4 times: Supply Chain, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Supply Chain, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Supply Chain, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Supply Chain, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 9 times: Supply Chain, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 8 times: Supply Chain, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 56/8169% | 92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 76¢ Kalshi |
| EPIC Center | 1 time: EPIC Center, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: EPIC Center, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: EPIC Center, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: EPIC Center, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: EPIC Center, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: EPIC Center, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 7 times: EPIC Center, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: EPIC Center, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 7/888% | 10/8112% | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 54¢ Kalshi |
| Hybrid Bonding | 0 times: Hybrid Bonding, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 2 times: Hybrid Bonding, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Hybrid Bonding, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Hybrid Bonding, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 3 times: Hybrid Bonding, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Hybrid Bonding, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Hybrid Bonding, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Hybrid Bonding, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 2/825% | 17/8121% | 83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Epitaxy | 0 times: Epitaxy, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Epitaxy, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Epitaxy, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Epitaxy, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Epitaxy, Q4’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Epitaxy, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 1 time: Epitaxy, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Epitaxy, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 12/8115% | 68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Agent / Agentic | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 5 times: Agent / Agentic, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Agent / Agentic, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 1/812% | 3/814% | 66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 56¢ Kalshi |
| Singapore | 1 time: Singapore, Q4’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 4 times: Singapore, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Singapore, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Singapore, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Singapore, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Singapore, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 1 time: Singapore, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Singapore, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 6/875% | 4/850% | 20/8125% | 62%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Chiplet | 0 times: Chiplet, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Chiplet, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 1 time: Chiplet, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Chiplet, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Chiplet, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Chiplet, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 1 time: Chiplet, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Chiplet, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 10/8112% | 54%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Broadcom | 0 times: Broadcom, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Broadcom, Q2’26 May '26 | 1 time: Broadcom, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 2/812% | 41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| EssilorLuxotticanever said | 0 times: EssilorLuxottica, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: EssilorLuxottica, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: EssilorLuxottica, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: EssilorLuxottica, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: EssilorLuxottica, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: EssilorLuxottica, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: EssilorLuxottica, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: EssilorLuxottica, Q3’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/810% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| SENZnever said | 0 times: SENZ, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: SENZ, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: SENZ, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: SENZ, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: SENZ, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: SENZ, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: SENZ, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: SENZ, Q3’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/810% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Smart Glassesnever said | 0 times: Smart Glasses, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Smart Glasses, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Smart Glasses, Q2’25 May '25 | 0 times: Smart Glasses, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Smart Glasses, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Smart Glasses, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Smart Glasses, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: Smart Glasses, Q3’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/810% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:43 UTC.
Every word
1–1 of 1, most settled first| Word | Q4’24Nov '24 | Q1’25Feb '25 | Q2’25May '25 | Q3’25Aug '25 | Q4’25Nov '25 | Q1’26Feb '26 | Q2’26May '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCREEN | 0 times: SCREEN, Q4’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: SCREEN, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: SCREEN, Q2’25 May '25 | 1 time: SCREEN, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: SCREEN, Q4’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: SCREEN, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: SCREEN, Q2’26 May '26 | 1 time: SCREEN, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 37/8146% | 45%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 13 of 13 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 13 | 10 yes · 3 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| May 14, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 15, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 16, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Applied Materials (AMAT): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMAT (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/applied-materials · words: /api/v1/history?entity=applied-materials · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP