Intuitive Machines (LUNR)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 11 word markets on Intuitive Machines’ earnings calls since 2026, on 11 different words. Next call: Nov 12, 2026 (11 words listed).
Next: Earnings call ·
11 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Mar '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Mar '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Dome | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q1’25 May '25 | 6 times: Golden Dome, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 6 times: Golden Dome, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Golden Dome, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 1 time: Golden Dome, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Golden Dome, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 5/1338% | 80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Moon Base | 0 times: Moon Base, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Moon Base, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Moon Base, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Moon Base, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Moon Base, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Moon Base, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 2 times: Moon Base, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 9 times: Moon Base, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 2/1315% | 73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Goonhilly Earth Station | 0 times: Goonhilly Earth Station, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Goonhilly Earth Station, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Goonhilly Earth Station, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Goonhilly Earth Station, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Goonhilly Earth Station, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Goonhilly Earth Station, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 5 times: Goonhilly Earth Station, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Goonhilly Earth Station, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 3/1323% | 66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| SpaceX | 0 times: SpaceX, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 2 times: SpaceX, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 0 times: SpaceX, Q1’26 May '26 | 4 times: SpaceX, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 1/812% | 4/1331% | 64%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Artemis IV | 0 times: Artemis IV, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Artemis IV, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Artemis IV, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Artemis IV, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Artemis IV, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: Artemis IV, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 1 time: Artemis IV, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Artemis IV, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/1323% | 57%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Mars3+ times | 0 times: Mars (3+ times), Q3’24 Nov '24 | 11 times: Mars (3+ times), Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 6 times: Mars (3+ times), Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 17 times: Mars (3+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 10 times: Mars (3+ times), Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 4 times: Mars (3+ times), Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 4 times: Mars (3+ times), Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Mars (3+ times), Q2’26 Aug '26, below the threshold | steady | 6/875% | 5/862% | 6/1346% | 49%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Space Force | 0 times: Space Force, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 2 times: Space Force, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 3 times: Space Force, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 5 times: Space Force, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Space Force, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Space Force, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 2 times: Space Force, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Space Force, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 6/875% | 6/875% | 8/1362% | 48%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Nuclear | 0 times: Nuclear, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Nuclear, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 8 times: Nuclear, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Nuclear, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 3 times: Nuclear, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Nuclear, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 2 times: Nuclear, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Nuclear, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 5/862% | 4/850% | 8/1362% | 48%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Artemis III | 0 times: Artemis III, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Artemis III, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Artemis III, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Artemis III, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Artemis III, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Artemis III, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 1 time: Artemis III, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Artemis III, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/1323% | 37%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| China / Chinese | 1 time: China / Chinese, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: China / Chinese, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: China / Chinese, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: China / Chinese, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: China / Chinese, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: China / Chinese, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 0 times: China / Chinese, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: China / Chinese, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 2/825% | 6/1346% | 25%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 2/825% | 1/812% | 2/1315% | 17%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:43 UTC.
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 11 of 11 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 11 | 5 yes · 6 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| May 14, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 13, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Intuitive Machines (LUNR): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LUNR (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/intuitive-machines · words: /api/v1/history?entity=intuitive-machines · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP