Intuitive Machines: FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 13, 2026

On its Aug 13, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Intuitive Machines said 5 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

11 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Moon Base Yes99✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Golden Dome Yes45✓75%transcripts from the transcript model–
SpaceX Yes44✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Goonhilly Earth Station Yes11✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Artemis IV Yes11✓42%transcripts from the transcript model–
Mars 3+ timesNo22✓75%transcripts from the transcript model–
Space Force No02✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nuclear No00✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Artemis III No00✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
China / Chinese No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓22%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Steve Altemuscompany“Moon Base” · prepared

…us to respond more quickly and deliver on our customers' timelines. NASA Moon Base is an example, an excellent example. While we begin by building…

Steve Altemuscompany“Golden Dome” · prepared

…were awarded an additional 18 satellites supporting AMDT3, part of the nation's Golden Dome architecture. In addition, we received ATP on an award for two…

Pete Mc Grathcompany“SpaceX” · prepared

…integration costs, and $17 million associated with the IM-4 milestone payment to SpaceX. We believe the strategic investment in the quarter has strengthened our production…

Steve Altemuscompany“Goonhilly Earth Station” · prepared

Our most recent acquisition of Goonhilly Earth Station and COMSAT expanded our ground segment communications infrastructure with globally recognized deep space ground systems that strengthen…

Steve Altemuscompany“Artemis IV” · qa

…the systems that, pardon me, all the systems that have to support Artemis IV, which is humans on the Moon in 2028. Our fully operational…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/intuitive-machines:2026-08-13:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=intuitive-machines:2026-08-13:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP