Will Intuitive Machines say “SpaceX”?

Intuitive Machines said “SpaceX” 4 times on its Aug 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Intuitive Machines said “SpaceX” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

64%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Nov 12, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Intuitive Machines

SpaceX

Probability
64% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Pete Mc GrathcompanypreparedIn transcript

…integration costs, and $17 million associated with the IM-4 milestone payment to SpaceX. We believe the strategic investment in the quarter has strengthened our production…

Steve AltemuscompanyqaIn transcript

…window January through March for Mission 3 of next year on a SpaceX Falcon 9. We are in assembly, integration, and test. We are doing…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 14, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 19, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Stephen AltemuscompanyqaIn transcript

…award. In our construct, what we proposed was a delivery on a SpaceX Falcon Heavy with a lander. It is called Supernova. It is our…

Stephen AltemuscompanyqaIn transcript

…forward. I do not have any insight into those discussions internally to the government or with SpaceX, so I cannot comment on that in particular.

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 13, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 24, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 14, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 13, 2026SpaceXKalshiYes4

Questions

How many times did Intuitive Machines say “SpaceX” on its last earnings call?
Intuitive Machines said “SpaceX” 4 times on its Aug 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 4 times.
How often does Intuitive Machines say “SpaceX”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Intuitive Machines said “SpaceX” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 13, 2026.
What is the probability Intuitive Machines says “SpaceX” next time?
64%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Intuitive Machines: ‘SpaceX’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LUNR/words/spacex (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=intuitive-machines&word=spacex · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=intuitive-machines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP