Will Intuitive Machines say “Mars” 3+ times?

Intuitive Machines said “Mars” 2 times on its Aug 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and 3+ times on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 11, 6, 17, 10, 4, 4, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Intuitive Machines did not say “Mars” 3+ times on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

49%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Nov 12, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Intuitive Machines

Mars (3+ times)

Probability
49% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 · said 2 times (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Steve AltemuscompanypreparedIn transcript

…the reconfiguration of the gateway power and propulsion element for NASA's flagship Mars mission, SR-1 Freedom. This program demonstrates how spacecraft developed for lunar exploration…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 14, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Steve AltemuscompanypreparedIn transcript

…capabilities that extend from Earth orbit to the lunar surface and onto Mars and beyond. The Lanteris acquisition accelerated this strategy. It expanded our production…

Steve AltemuscompanypreparedIn transcript

…spacecraft to serve as the centerpiece of the U.S. flagship mission to Mars, the SR-1 Freedom nuclear electric propulsion element. This solar and nuclear propulsion…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 19, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Stephen AltemuscompanypreparedIn transcript

…the business across all space domains: LEO, GEO, cislunar, and out to Mars and beyond. Through our early missions, we established the technical foundation of…

Stephen AltemuscompanypreparedIn transcript

…services, anchored by multibillion-dollar recurring revenue programs like LCBS, the TDRS service, Mars Telecom Network service, and Fission Surface Power. With the combined power of…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 10 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · said 17 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 13, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 24, 2025 · said 11 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 14, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 13, 2026Mars (3+ times)KalshiNo2

Questions

How many times did Intuitive Machines say “Mars” on its last earnings call?
Intuitive Machines said “Mars” 2 times on its Aug 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and 3+ times on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 11, 6, 17, 10, 4, 4, 2 times.
How often does Intuitive Machines say “Mars (3+ times)”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Intuitive Machines did not say “Mars” 3+ times on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 13, 2026.
What is the probability Intuitive Machines says “Mars (3+ times)” next time?
49%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Intuitive Machines: ‘Mars (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LUNR/words/mar-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=intuitive-machines&word=mar%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=intuitive-machines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP