Will Donald Trump say “Trump Ocean / Trump Strait”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trump Ocean / Trump Strait” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 80¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Trump Ocean / Trump Strait
- Probability
- 59% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…want to change the name of the straight of Hormones to the Trump Strait. And he called up, he said, "Sir, I've had it. I've…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Trump Ocean / Trump Strait |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Trump Ocean / Trump Strait | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Trump Ocean / Trump Strait”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trump Ocean / Trump Strait” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Trump Ocean / Trump Strait” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Trump Ocean / Trump Strait’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/trump-ocean-or-trump-strait (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=trump%20ocean%20%2F%20trump%20strait · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP