Sam Altman

Business · Tech leadersPersonTranscriptsUpdated

Every word

41–62 of 62, most settled first · page 2 of 2
Sam Altman: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordJul 22 ’25keynoteOct 10episodeDec 8episodeDec 9episodeJul 9 ’26episodeSep 29latestLast 6SettledProbability
GPT-6Not listed: GPT-6, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: GPT-6, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: GPT-6, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: GPT-6, Dec 9 episodeSettled no: GPT-6, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: GPT-6, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–
Infrastructure0 times: Infrastructure, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Infrastructure, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Infrastructure, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Infrastructure, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Infrastructure, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Infrastructure, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Innovation1 time: Innovation, Jul 22 ’25 keynote, counts as said (our count 1 · the market settled no)Not listed: Innovation, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Innovation, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Innovation, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Innovation, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Innovation, Sep 29 interview1/1100%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
IPO / PublicNot listed: IPO / Public, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: IPO / Public, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: IPO / Public, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: IPO / Public, Dec 9 episodeSettled no: IPO / Public, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: IPO / Public, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–
Nvidia / JensenNot listed: Nvidia / Jensen, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Nvidia / Jensen, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Nvidia / Jensen, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Nvidia / Jensen, Dec 9 episodeSettled no: Nvidia / Jensen, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Nvidia / Jensen, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–
MetaNot listed: Meta, Jul 22 ’25 keynote0 times: Meta, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Meta, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Meta, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Meta, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Meta, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Terminator / MovieNot listed: Terminator / Movie, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Terminator / Movie, Oct 10 episodeSettled no: Terminator / Movie, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Terminator / Movie, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Terminator / Movie, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Terminator / Movie, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Silicon Valley / NerdNot listed: Silicon Valley / Nerd, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Silicon Valley / Nerd, Oct 10 episodeSettled no: Silicon Valley / Nerd, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Silicon Valley / Nerd, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Silicon Valley / Nerd, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Silicon Valley / Nerd, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
OpenAI4+ timesNot listed: OpenAI 4+ times, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: OpenAI 4+ times, Oct 10 episodeSettled no: OpenAI 4+ times, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: OpenAI 4+ times, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: OpenAI 4+ times, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: OpenAI 4+ times, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
OpenAI5+ timesNot listed: OpenAI 5+ times, Jul 22 ’25 keynote0 times: OpenAI 5+ times, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: OpenAI 5+ times, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: OpenAI 5+ times, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: OpenAI 5+ times, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: OpenAI 5+ times, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–
ProductivityNot listed: Productivity, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Productivity, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Productivity, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Productivity, Dec 9 episodeSettled no: Productivity, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Productivity, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–
QuantumNot listed: Quantum, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Quantum, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Quantum, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Quantum, Dec 9 episodeSettled no: Quantum, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Quantum, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–
RobotNot listed: Robot, Jul 22 ’25 keynote0 times: Robot, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Robot, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Robot, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Robot, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Robot, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Robot / RoboticNot listed: Robot / Robotic, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Robot / Robotic, Oct 10 episodeSettled no: Robot / Robotic, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Robot / Robotic, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Robot / Robotic, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Robot / Robotic, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Safety0 times: Safety, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Safety, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Safety, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Safety, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Safety, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Safety, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Sora3+ timesNot listed: Sora 3+ times, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Sora 3+ times, Oct 10 episodeSettled no: Sora 3+ times, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Sora 3+ times, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Sora 3+ times, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Sora 3+ times, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Sora5+ timesNot listed: Sora 5+ times, Jul 22 ’25 keynote3 times: Sora 5+ times, Oct 10 episode, below the thresholdNot listed: Sora 5+ times, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Sora 5+ times, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Sora 5+ times, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Sora 5+ times, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–
Supervision0 times: Supervision, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Supervision, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Supervision, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Supervision, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Supervision, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Supervision, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
TikTokNot listed: TikTok, Jul 22 ’25 keynote0 times: TikTok, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: TikTok, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: TikTok, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: TikTok, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: TikTok, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
Transparency0 times: Transparency, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Transparency, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Transparency, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Transparency, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Transparency, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Transparency, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
TrillionNot listed: Trillion, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Trillion, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Trillion, Dec 8 episodeNot listed: Trillion, Dec 9 episodeSettled no: Trillion, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Trillion, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–
ValuationNot listed: Valuation, Jul 22 ’25 keynoteNot listed: Valuation, Oct 10 episodeNot listed: Valuation, Dec 8 episodeSettled no: Valuation, Dec 9 episodeNot listed: Valuation, Jul 9 ’26 episodeNot listed: Valuation, Sep 29 interview0/10%0/10%–n=1 too little history for a probability
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Settled
every settled market of the word: said / listed
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

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