Will Andy Burnham say “Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Andy Burnham said “Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 PMQs; Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), since fewer than 2 debates have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Andy Burnham
Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We agree that the scenes from Gaza and the west bank are deeply distressing, and that is why the Foreign Secretary has taken the action…
…have talked about the importance of the two-state solution between Israel and Palestine. Words from any politician about a two-state solution will be only words…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Andy Burnham say “Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Andy Burnham said “Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Andy Burnham says “Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Burnham: ‘Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/andy-burnham/words/gaza-or-palestine-or-palestinian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-burnham&word=gaza%20%2F%20palestine%20%2F%20palestinian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-burnham&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP