Will Andy Burnham say “Russia / Russian”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Burnham said “Russia / Russian” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 PMQs; Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), since fewer than 2 debates have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Andy Burnham
Russia / Russian
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…we do not produce it, Britain and Europe will buy it from Russia. In July, the Prime Minister said: “The question isn’t whether Britain will…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…steering through the Elections Bill. She said: “I have not read the Russia report”.––[Official Report, Elections Public Bill Committee, 26 October 2021; c. 384.] They…
…3% by 2030. The threats are now. Argentina is threatening the Falklands—now. Russia is threatening us in the North sea—now. The Prime Minister did not…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…should unite the House in sending complete condemnation of that attack by Russia, and complete solidarity to support both Germany and Ukraine, and that position…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Russia / Russian |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Andy Burnham say “Russia / Russian”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Burnham said “Russia / Russian” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Andy Burnham says “Russia / Russian” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Burnham: ‘Russia / Russian’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/andy-burnham/words/russia-or-russian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-burnham&word=russia%20%2F%20russian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-burnham&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP