Will Andy Burnham say “Argentina”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Andy Burnham did not say “Argentina” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.

Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 PMQs; Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), since fewer than 2 debates have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=andy-burnham&word=argentina

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Andy Burnham

Argentina

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 4 transcripts
said in 1 of 4

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (4 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Sir John Whittingdale (Maldon) (Con)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 21 October 2026 · Oct 21, 2026In transcript

…Government will strongly oppose the case being made by the Government of Argentina to the international tribunal to try to stop the exploitation of oil…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Andy BurnhamspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 14 October 2026 · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…overwhelming will of the Falkland Islanders. We have made that clear to Argentina directly. We will not allow the islanders to be used as a…

Mrs BadenochotherPrime Minister's Questions, 9 September 2026 · Sep 9, 2026In transcript

…how we would get to 3% by 2030. The threats are now. Argentina is threatening the Falklands—now. Russia is threatening us in the North sea—now.…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Andy Burnham say during his United Nations address? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 22, 2026ArgentinaKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Andy Burnham say “Argentina”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Andy Burnham did not say “Argentina” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
What is the probability Andy Burnham says “Argentina” next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Burnham: ‘Argentina’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/andy-burnham/words/argentina (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-burnham&word=argentina · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-burnham&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP