Will Andy Burnham say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Burnham said “Trump” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 PMQs; Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), since fewer than 2 debates have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Andy Burnham
Trump
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…position, and the Foreign Secretary too. I raised the matter with President Trump. There is no diminution in our strong support to keep the Falkland…
…prop in Argentinian domestic politics. I raised this issue directly with President Trump just a few weeks ago. We will not allow Britain or the…
…model to the institute for testing, apparently due to pressure from the Trump Administration. Does the Prime Minister think it is acceptable for President Trump…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Trump |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Andy Burnham say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Burnham said “Trump” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Andy Burnham says “Trump” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Burnham: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/andy-burnham/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-burnham&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-burnham&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP