Will Andy Burnham say “Reform”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Burnham did not say “Reform” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 PMQs; Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), since fewer than 2 debates have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Andy Burnham
Reform
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 4 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…others up and down the country need wait no longer for leasehold reform. We will bring forward the leasehold reform Bill as soon as possible—hopefully…
…a decade of division when she drew a line between her and Reform for suggesting that her children were not British. That is wrong in…
…a meeting. As announcements this week have shown, I believe that political reform always benefits from the highest degree of consensus, so I give him…
…reviewing the funding formula as part of a wider programme of police reform. I would be happy to engage with her on that very issue…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Reform |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Andy Burnham say “Reform”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Andy Burnham did not say “Reform” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Andy Burnham says “Reform” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Andy Burnham: ‘Reform’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/andy-burnham/words/reform (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=andy-burnham&word=reform · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=andy-burnham&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP