Will Donald Trump say “Welfare”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Welfare” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 13, 2025.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Welfare
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…voted in favor of deadly sanctuary cities. He voted to give lavish welfare benefits to illegal aliens and even wrote a memo giving illegal alien…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…deficit, where we were getting ripped off by foreign countries, whether it's welfare fraud, where we're getting ripped off by these refugees and foreign scammers,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | Welfare |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Welfare”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Welfare” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Welfare” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Welfare’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/welfare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=welfare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP