Will Donald Trump say “We Won”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “We Won” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 15, 2024.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
We Won
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 4 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you know, I'm thrilled to be back in this unbelievable state, but we won this state two years ago with more votes than any candidate…
…to be back in my home state, Florida. I won. You know, we won all three times with the most votes, more votes than ever…
…against somebody, but as it turned out, we didn't need it. It was very We didn't need it. We got all seven swing. We won
…Nicholas Maduro, who's now awaiting trial for lots of bad things. And we won the war in Venezuela one day, less than one day, and…
…do say this. When I was on the ticket, when I ran, we won everything. We won everything. When I don't run, people don't show…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | We Won |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “We Won”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “We Won” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 15, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “We Won” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘We Won’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/we-won (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=we%20won · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP