Will Donald Trump say “Vote” 30+ times?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vote” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 2, 2024.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Vote 30+ times

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Georgia · Oct 24, 2026 · 4:51In transcript

…unbelievable state, but we won this state two years ago with more votes than any candidate in the history of Georgia. We got the We…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 2:58In transcript

…I won. You know, we won all three times with the most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 3:11In transcript

…What the hell difference? Which I won all three times, receiving more votes than any candidate in political history. Catch it. And I want you…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 2:53In transcript

…great big beautiful state which I won all three times with more votes. I don't want to say this to I don't want to say…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:39:14In transcript

…is there a reason you can think of medically, why do people vote -- (Laughter) But there should be no reason. In fact, you'd think…

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Nov 2, 2024Vote 30+ timesPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Vote 30+ times”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vote” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 2, 2024.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Vote 30+ times” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Vote 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/vote-30plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=vote%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP