Will Donald Trump say “Venezuela” 10+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Venezuela” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 3, 2026.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Venezuela 10+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…it is almost like a release. It's good. You know, we took Venezuela quickly. We're doing we're doing very well. You have no idea how…
…I think we're captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting. And we won the war in…
…world. And we captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who's now awaiting trial for lots of bad things. And…
…them out of jails, and we're working closely with the leaders of Venezuela to forge a much better future for the Venezuelan people. Last month,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Venezuela 10+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Venezuela 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Venezuela” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Venezuela 10+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Venezuela 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/venezuela-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=venezuela%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP