What is the probability Donald Trump says “United Nation” next time?

42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Donald Trump say “United Nation”?

Name: Donald Trump: “United Nation” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “United Nation” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 19, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 07:28 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

United Nation

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 53:24In transcript

…really an honor to do so. I had no help from the United Nations. I never made one phone call to the United Nations, but…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 19:34In transcript

…the governor, I took the governor, I put her over at the United Nations because I wanted this guy to be I wanted this guy…

QreporterRemarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival at United Nations Headquarters in New York City · Sep 22, 2026In transcript

The United Nations allowed us in, sir.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 15:47In transcript

…celebrated in the streets. I want to express my gratitude to the United Nations Security Council for their unanimous endorsement of our 20 point Gaza…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Feb 19, 2026	United Nation	Polymarket	Yes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “United Nation”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “United Nation” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 19, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “United Nation” next time?: 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘United Nation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/united-nation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=united%20nation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP