Will Donald Trump say “Union”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Union” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (50%), most recently on Sep 4, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Union
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you do that? We have Oh, look at Get over here, you union guy. Get over here. Get over here. This I love this guy.…
…Okay. I don't know if they were necess upset with the European Union because it was Denmark, you know, it's had it. They've only had…
…deficits with almost everybody -- Canada, $90 billion; Mexico, $175 billion; European Union, $225 billion. We're cutting them way back to the old days. But…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Union”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Union” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (50%), most recently on Sep 4, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Union” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Union’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/union (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=union · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP