Will Donald Trump say “Trump Card / Trump Gold Card”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Trump Card / Trump Gold Card” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 12, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 3 later appearances without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Trump Card / Trump Gold Card
- Probability
- 38% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Trump Card / Trump Gold Card |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (25 of 36 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Trump Card / Trump Gold Card | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Trump Card / Trump Gold Card | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Trump Card / Trump Gold Card |  Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Trump Card / Trump Gold Card”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Trump Card / Trump Gold Card” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 12, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Trump Card / Trump Gold Card” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Trump Card / Trump Gold Card’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/trump-card-or-trump-gold-card (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=trump%20card%20%2F%20trump%20gold%20card · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP