Will Donald Trump say “The State of the Union is strong”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “The State of the Union is strong” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 24, 2026.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
The State of the Union is strong
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | The State of the Union is strong |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “The State of the Union is strong”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “The State of the Union is strong” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “The State of the Union is strong” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘The State of the Union is strong’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/the-state-of-the-union-is-strong (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=the%20state%20of%20the%20union%20is%20strong · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP