Will Donald Trump say “Tax on Tips” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax on Tips” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 4, 2026.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tax on Tips 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…history. I did it in my first term also, including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security for…
…in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security. You…
…cuts in American history with a great big beautiful bill, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security for our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Tax on Tips 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tax on Tips 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax on Tips” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tax on Tips 3+ times” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tax on Tips 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tax-on-tip-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tax%20on%20tip%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP