Will Donald Trump say “Tax” 33+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 33+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (33+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 38¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tax 33+ times
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
34 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…be. It's our capital. It should be right. I signed the largest tax cuts in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no…
…of the things I'm most happy about. We eliminated the unfair estate tax or the death tax, right? It's the best thing. And I tell,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Tax 33+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 34 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tax 33+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tax 33+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 33+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tax 33+ times” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tax 33+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tax-33plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tax%20%2833%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP