Will Donald Trump say “Superstar / Television”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Superstar / Television” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 31, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Aug 25, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
Superstar / Television
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and thousands of people that unfortunat we put up those big uh television screens, those massive television screens. You know how I know they're massive?…
…happened. When -- when it happened, I would watch his son on television. I'd watch his family on television begging, virtually, to -- for him…
…this massive human being next to him. You've seen him her on television. and she had to compete. And my wife said, "Please don't tell…
…not exactly a very beautiful woman, nice woman, and she was on television recently talking about the fact that our men are gone. She's a…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Superstar / Television | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Superstar / Television”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Superstar / Television” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 31, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Superstar / Television” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Superstar / Television’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/superstar-or-television (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=superstar%20%2F%20television · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP