Will Donald Trump say “Season”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Season” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 14, 2025.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Last said
Dec 12, 2025
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Season

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.guestDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 1:07:04In transcript

…fish in it. They grow shrimp. They can do that for five seasons and all the mangroves are dead. They destroy the environment. The shrimp…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 47:21In transcript

…providing our farmers with $8 billion to offset diesel cost in the harvest season, including an estimated $400 million is coming to Iowa farmers. 400.

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Dec 14, 2025SeasonPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Season”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Season” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 14, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Season” next time?
51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Season’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/season (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=season · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP