Will Donald Trump say “Religion”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Religion” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 3, 2025.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Religion
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…going to protect our borders, our safety, our culture, our civilization, our religion, our heritage. And we will not let our country be ransacked or…
…they'd say your favorite. What about wife? What about God? What about religion? Unification. David came up with unification. And they took a lot of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2025 | Religion |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Religion”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Religion” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 3, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Religion” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Religion’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/religion (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=religion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP