Will Donald Trump say “Rat”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Rat” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 16, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Rat
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and Native American poverty. And by the way, AsianAmerican poverty, all those rates are at the best levels ever recorded. There's never nothing even close.…
…another one. African-American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, Asian-American poverty, Native American poverty rates are at the best levels ever recorded. So So, so poverty is…
…to keep talking for? African-American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, Native American poverty rates are all at the best levels ever recorded. Asian, too. Asian-American. And…
Interest rates are very soon going to be falling just like oil, gas, everything's going to be. We watch what's going to be happening very…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Rat |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Rat”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Rat” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rat” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rat’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/rat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=rat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP