Will Donald Trump say “Percent” 15+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Percent” 15+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Percent 15+ times
- Probability
- 43% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…would, now every time I'm on the ball, we do 49 to 50% more people come out and they're all going to vote for us.…
…to do me a very big favor. So when I run, I get 50% more vote. 49.2% more vote. So I'm asking you to pretend
…their economy. The only thing not gone is inflation. They have 301 percent as of this morning. The -- their money is gone. Everything's gone.…
…I'm on the ballot because when I'm on the ballot, WE GET 49% MORE votes all three times. 52, 57, 49. And for the sake…
…been arrested and charged. And by the way, the governor is 100 percent guilty. He's 100 percent guilty, he's a fraud, he's a thief, he's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Percent 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 20 |
| May 18, 2026 | Percent 15+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Percent 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Percent” 15+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Percent 15+ times” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Percent 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/percent-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=percent%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP