Will Donald Trump say “Peace” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Peace” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 14, 2025.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Oct 13, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Peace (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…any other president ever. Ever. And they've never given you the Nobel Peace Prize, by the way, which is a disgrace. So, what I came…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Thailand. Kosovo. I settled all these wars and they gave the wonderful peace prize, right? Does anybody know the name of that peace prize? The…
…on Ukraine, sir, after today's talks in Oslo, do you believe the peace process is back on track? And what are your expectations when your…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Peace (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Peace (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Peace” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 14, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Peace (3+ times)” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Peace (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/peace-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=peace%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP