Will Donald Trump say “Paper”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Paper” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 14, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Paper
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the Wall Street Journal. Not that that means anything. It's a terrible paper, but terrible just it's become a scandal sheet, but no, it was…
…You know, very little. There was a mention in one of the papers. It was the last page of the paper was a piece about…
…no president in the history of the United States put pen to paper and put -- put this team together and gave us these authorities…
…like an eighth of an ounce. They put a little piece of paper in each side. And she's going for the record. Well, so I…
…man who works in the election bureau asks may I see your papers, please? Do you have voter ID? Do you have anything having to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Paper |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Paper”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Paper” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Paper” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Paper’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/paper (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=paper · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP